“The challenges we faced in 2020 were unlike any other”
Texas Roadhouse reported net income of $19.5 million in Q4, announced Thursday, or 28 cents per share. This was down from $42.7 million and 61 cents, respectively, in the year-ago period. Revenue declined 12 percent to $637.9 million from $752.2 million.
Like restaurants across the country, this winter stretch was a wild one. October, November, and December same-store sales increased 0.8 percent, decreased 6.3 percent, and then fell 18.2 percent. For the full quarter, comps declined 8.9 percent at company stores and 11.2 percent at franchises.
Normally, these figures would seem like impossible swings. But these are strange times.
After October’s positive push, Texas Roadhouse had to reclose 90 dining rooms and layer in additional capacity restrictions at many others, starting in mid-November. Yet by the time the quarter ended, more than 98 percent of corporate restaurants returned some level of dining room capacity.
COVID is simply an era with no baseline.
Sales have benefited from these reopenings and eased restrictions. Stores with limited capacity averaged more than $108,000 for the first seven weeks of fiscal 2021. And for restaurants with open dining rooms, to-go averaged just over $25,000 per week, or roughly 23 percent of sales, during that stretch.
Notably, restaurants with 75 percent and above are averaging slightly under $23,000 per week (20 percent of total sales). “So to-date, we are seeing minimal drop-off in to-go sales as indoor dining capacity increases,” CFO Tonya Robinson.
It’s the formula sit-down chains nationwide want to bank on: Dine-in business flooding back and to-go sales sticking around to some elevated degree.
A deeper look:
All restaurants
October
- Same-store sales: 0.8 percent
- Average weekly sales: $98,797
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 20 percent
- Number of restaurants: 528
November
- Same-store sales: –6.3 percent
- Average weekly sales: $93,946
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 22.4 percent
- Number of restaurants: 533
December
- Same-store sales: –18.2 percent
- Average weekly sales: $84,184
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 26.5 percent
- Number of restaurants: 537
Q4
- Same-store sales: –8.9 percent
- Average weekly sales: $91,644
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 23.1 percent
- Number of restaurants: 537
Limited capacity restaurants
October
- Same-store sales: 1.1 percent
- Average weekly sales: $99,139
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 19.9 percent
- Number of restaurants: 519
November
- Same-store sales: –3.4 percent
- Average weekly sales: $96,841
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 21.1 percent
- Number of restaurants: 452
December
- Same-store sales: –9.1 percent
- Average weekly sales: $93,894
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 21.4 percent
- Number of restaurants: 440
Q4
- Same-store sales: –4 percent
- Average weekly sales: $95,568
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 20.9 percent
- Number of restaurants: 440
January period, and the first even weeks of Q1
All restaurants
January
- Same-store sales: –0.3 percent
- Average weekly sales: $105,595
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 25.9 percent
- Number of restaurants: 537
First seven weeks of Q1
- Same-store sales: –2 percent
- Average weekly sales: $105,505
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 24.8 percent
- Number of restaurants: 538
Limited capacity restaurants
January
- Same-store sales: –3.8 percent
- Average weekly sales: $110,587
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 23.7 percent
- Number of restaurants: 504
First seven weeks of Q1
- Same-store sales: 0.3 percent
- Average weekly sales: $108,374
- To-go sales as a percentage of average weekly sales: 23.4 percent
- Number of restaurants: 530
Texas Roadhouse installed windows in its “corral” and outdoor waiting areas to make it easier for customers to grab to-go food. It’s also introduced some technology into the experience, such as two-way texting so people can check in and known when their food is ready for pick-up.
To-go, broadly, pressured Texas Roadhouse’s margins a bit because it’s less profitable, thanks to lower drink mix. Also, the company pays to-go employees minimum wage instead of a tipped wage. Robinson said there’s about a $4 gap in per-person average between dining room and to-go orders.
At the beginning of December, there were 100 locations operating as off-premises-only units. There are just eight today. There’s 165 operating in the 75 to 100 percent capacity bucket.
Texas Roadhouse also moved its apps to a different platform in October and has seen downloads (this is true of Bubba’s 33 as well) rise in recent months.